The borrowing of euros by traders to
invest in global assets is rising in a shift that banks say marks the
start of a revival of so-called carry trade in currency markets.
交易员借入欧元投资全球资产的行为正在增多,银行称,这一转变标志着外汇市场上的利差交易开始复苏。
Reduced expectations of a third round of
quantitative easing of monetary policy in the US combined with
predictions that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates
further are leading global investors to use the euro as a funding
currency for carry trades.
Such trades benefit from a fall in the
euro as traders typically borrow the funds in the single currency, then
sell it to take positions with other currencies. When they pay back the
borrowings, the traders then benefit from any fall in the euro.
In turn such carry trades can spur a
fall in the euro. Traders say this is one reason why the euro has been
the worst performing major currency this year, while currencies that
benefit from an improvement in risk appetite including the Australian
dollar and the Mexican peso are among the best performers.
As evidence of the increased use of the
euro to fund trading positions, investment banks cite data that hedge
funds are now shorting the euro at record levels as bearishness over the
single currency has increased.
Traders held a record 139,000 short
positions against the euro last week, according to data from US
Commodity Futures Trading Commission that is widely seen as a proxy for
broader trading activity.
Investment banks said that other
long-term investors outside the US were also starting to fund their
positions in euros, with expectations that interest rates would go lower
making it cheaper to borrow the currency