揭示市场筹码流动的指标：潜筹（上）

zydw001 2013-01-27

展开全文

通过上图我们看到，股票价格从23.55到18.32的一波下跌，潜筹筹码降。接着股价从18.32上涨至20.87，筹码继续下降，此阶段为背离平台；之后股价从19.50到22.12一波上涨，筹码升，此阶段为短背离主升；之后股价经过阶段震荡调整至18.50的低点，此时对应潜筹顶，表明此阶段为上涨中继；接着就是二次背离了，股价从18.50一跃升至23.15的高位，同时筹码升，背离升，法、术活跃；之后背离、筹码降，进入出货阶段，此阶段以潜筹突然上升至高点为标志。至此，本指标研究的范围结束。

因此，要想赢利，我们必须抓住两次背离主升的机会，做到低吸高抛。大家先研究下指标和股价对应关系，下面无偿奉献上指标源码，主要用于飞狐，大智慧也可用。别的软件暂时没有测试。

源码：
CJ:=(H+L+2*O+3*C)/7;
DK:=INTPART(276/POW(DATATYPE+0.3,2)-1.1);
DN:=if(DK<5,5,DK);
KN:=POW(HHV(H,3.6*DN)/HHV(H,0),0.9);
短筹:SMA(SMA((PWINNER(36,0.66*CJ)+0.618*PWINNER(18,0.86*CJ))*61.8,1.2*dn,0.41*DN),2.2*DN,2.2*DN-1),colorgray,linethick2;
抢筹:=if(slope(短筹,0.4*DN)>=0,slope(短筹,0.4*DN)*POW(0.61*DN,1.5),0);
活筹:=0.28*短筹+4.62*抢筹-3;
上涨角:=HHV(atan(slope(活筹,0.6*DN)*0.58)*180/3.14159,0.6*DN),linethick0;
TT:=(上涨角+1.11*短筹)/1.916;
屯:=SMA(TT,2.4*DN,0.6*DN);
屯筹: (2.28*HHV(屯,1.6*DN)+SMA(屯,2.4*DN,1))/2.801;
PARTLINE(slope(屯筹,2)>0,屯筹),COLORRED;
PARTLINE(slope(屯筹,2)<=0,屯筹),colorgreen;
QL:=(抢筹*0.8+slope(短筹,0.4*DN)*(60-短筹)*0.8+slope(屯筹,0.6*DN)*(88-屯筹)*0.55+slope(屯,0.6*DN)*(屯-100)*0.2)*pow(DN/4.2,0.4)*KN;
潜筹:if(slope(QL,1.6*DN)>0,0.22*SMA(QL,2.4*DN,2.4*DN-1)+0.44*HHV(QL,1.6*DN)-4,0),LINEDOT,colorgreen;
DBL:=if(slope(C,2)>0,slope(C,2)*slope(潜筹,2)/C,0)*1.5;
短背离:=0.618*HHV(DBL,9)+DBL;
背离:SMA(winner(0.993*c)*100-屯筹,3.6*DN,1.6*DN),linethick2,colorcyan;
QF:=BARSLAST(cross(75*KN,潜筹))+1;
潜伏期:=if(QF=1,ref(QF,1)+1,QF),linethick0;
潜深:=0.5*HHV(潜伏期,3.6*DN)+0.5*SMA(潜伏期,3.6*DN,1);
上浮力:if(slope(潜深,2)<0,KN*50*pow(-slope(潜深,2),0.2),0),COLORMAGENTA,linethick2;
KP:=BARSLAST(cross(短筹,屯筹*(KN-0.0495)))+1;
活跃期:=BARSLAST(cross(上浮力,0.1))+1,linethick0;
ZP:=SMA(MA(115*KN-屯筹*(KN-0.0495),KP)*0.6,1.8*DN,2);
庄筹派发:ZP+25,colorbrown,linedot;
回马枪:=0.618*HHV(slope(背离,2),9)+slope(背离,2);
势:抢筹+slope(屯筹,8)+pow(ABS(50-短筹)/39,3),COLORb0afff;
法:0.3*if(回马枪*势>0,pow(回马枪*势,0.9),-pow(-回马枪*势,0.6)),linethick0,colormagenta;
术:势*0.66+1.1*if(短背离>0,pow(短背离,0.9),-pow(-短背离,0.6)),linethick0,colorgreen;
潜筹涌动:SMA(潜筹,1.8*DN,2),linethick0;
XG:=sma(V,4,3)<1.421*sma(V,24,1);
牛市粗选:屯筹>88 and 庄筹派发<46.7 and 0.495*潜筹涌动+潜伏期>18.2 and XG ,linethick0,colorred;
熊市粗选: ((回马枪>0 and ABS(背离+3)>21) OR 法>2.07 OR 术>16) and C/REF(C,1)>=1.048 AND 潜筹涌动>0 AND XG,linethick0,colorblue;
PARTLINE(牛市粗选,庄筹派发),COLORMAGENTA,linethick3;
PARTLINE(熊市粗选,庄筹派发),COLORFF48A3,linethick3;
变盘:barslast(cross(上浮力,0.2))<6 and barslast(cross(0.2,上浮力))<barslast(cross(上浮力,0.2)),linethick0,colorblack;
refline:0,50,75,100;
STICKLINE(术>=0,MIN(术,100),0,4,0),COLORgreen;
STICKLINE(术<0,术,0,4,0),colorcyan;
STICKLINE(法>=0,MIN(法,100),0,1,0),COLORmagenta;
STICKLINE(法<0,法,0,1,0),colorred;