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How When China Rules theWorld Got It Right by Martin Jacques Martin Jacques was educated at King Henry VIIISchool, an independent school in Coventry, (at the time a partly fee-payingboys' Direct grant grammar school),[1][2] followed by the University ofManchester, where he graduated with a first-class Honours degree, andsubsequently at King's College at the University of Cambridge, where he studiedfor a PhD.
1. At the time of publication many suggestedChina’s rise could not continue, and that the idea that China might usurp theUnited States as the dominant global power was doubtful at best. In fact, sincethe financial crisis, a combination of China’s rise and America’s decline hasaccelerated the process. It is now estimated that the Chinese economy will bebigger than the US economy by 2016, much sooner than 2027 as previouslysuggested. 2. Indeed, contrary to the predictions ofdoomsayers – who argued that sooner or later (usually sooner!) the Chineseeconomy would hit the rocks, or there would be a major political convulsion, orboth – the Chinese economy has continued to grow, while the Western financialcrisis has devastated Europe and the US. 3. Prior to the publication of When China Rulesthe World, discussion about China was almost purely economic; I argued that theeconomic rise of China would in fact lead to growing Chinese political,intellectual, ideological, cultural and military influence – influence whichhas already begun to manifest. There is a growing recognition that China willchange the world, not only economically, but also politically, intellectually,ideologically and culturally. 4. Rather than China westernising, I argued thatits rise would lead to a growing sinification of the world. Although this isonly in its infancy, there is an increasing recognition that this is likely tohappen. 5. There is now a growing discussion that, as Isuggested, China’s rise would ultimately lead to a new kind of internationalsystem, not simply an adaptation of the present American-designed system. Anillustration of this is the rise of the renminbi and a growing belief that itwill replace the dollar as the world’s dominant currency. 6. I argued that as China became stronger andmore confident, it would increasingly look to its own history and traditionsfor inspiration and guidance rather than borrowing and imitating the West.There is now abundant evidence that this is happening. For example, Chineseforeign policy is increasingly looking at traditional Chinese teachings for itsfuture direction. 7. The book argued that China was and wouldcontinue to look to its relationship with the developing world rather thedeveloped world as its first priority. This is exactly what is happening. 8. The centre of gravity of global power isshifting remorselessly from the developed world to the developing world. Infact, the financial crisis has accelerated this process. 9. Above all, the book argued that China isdifferent from the West and will remain so: we can only understand China in itsown terms not through a Western lens or a belief that China should be like us.Before the book was published, the latter was the overwhelmingly dominant view.It is still the dominant view in my opinion, but there is a growing body ofopinion that this position is mistaken. My book has played the key role in thisshift at an intellectual level but of course the most important factor has beenChina’s continuing transformation and the fact that it shows little sign ofwesternising.
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