政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告(AR6)指出相对于工业革命前,全球变暖背景下极端气候事件发生更为频繁。由极端事件引发的气象灾害及衍生灾害导致的损失不断增加,灾害风险不断加大,严重影响社会、经济和人类生活等方面,引起广泛关注(Qin and Xie, 2016, 2017)。《巴黎协定》提出本世纪末将全球温度升高保持在相对于工业化革命前水平2.0℃以内,并为温度升高控制在1.5℃以内努力。 【论文信息】: 1.Qin, P. H. (2022) More than six billion people encountering more exposure to extremes with 1.5°C and 2.0°C warming. Atmos. Res. Accepted. https:///10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106165 2.Qin, P. H., C. X. Shi (2022). Characteristics of climate extremes in China during the recent global warming hiatus based upon machine learning. Int. J. Climatol., 42(4), 2099– 2116. https:///10.1002/joc.7354 3.Qin, P. H., Z. H. Xie, J. Zou, S. Liu, S. Chen (2021) Future Precipitation Extremes in China under Climate Change and Their Physical Quantification Based on a Regional Climate Model and CMIP5 Model Simulations. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 38, 460–479. https:///10.1007/s00376-020-0141-4 4.Qin, P. H., and Z. H. Xie (2017) Precipitation extremes in the dry and wet regions of China and their connections with the sea surface temperature in the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 122, 6273– 6283. https:///10.1002/2016JD026242 5.Qin, P. H., and Z. H. Xie (2016) Detecting changes in future precipitation extremes over eight river basins in China using RegCM4 downscaling, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 121, 6802– 6821. https:///10.1002/2016JD024776 |
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