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中国石化新闻网讯 据《印度斯坦时报》6月21日新德里报道，若印度不从石油向天然气转型并采取节能措施，未来10年内该国年度能源进口额或将翻番至2300亿美元。 根据一份高盛报告，受经济增长、工业化与城市化水平提升影响，印度未来10年内年度能源进口额将从目前的1200亿美元增加至2300亿美元。报告还称，进行石油向天然气转型，并采取节能措施将显著减少国家能源进口。 印度因不能生产足够的能源满足其需求而面临能源挑战。2013-2014年，印度能源净进口额为其GDP的6.3%。报告指出，“印度人口占全球1/5，但能源仅占1/30。” 高盛报告称：“能源领域改革可在2022-2023年将印度的年度能源进口额减少400亿美元。如进行改革，其能源进口额将从目前占GDP的6.3%下降至4%。” 报告进一步指出，若印度未来10年中能将能源效率提升15%，至2022-23年时每年可节省320亿美元。 此外，减少能源进口在GDP中所占比例还能帮助印度减少结构性账目赤字，反过来对中期货币也会产生积极影响。 詹乐乾 摘译自《印度斯坦时报》，2014-6-23
原文如下： India’s Energy import bill may hit $230 bn in 10 yrs India’s annual energy import bill could almost double to $230 billion in the next decade if India does not switch from oil to natural gas and improves conservation activities. According to a Goldman Sachs report, the country’s annual energy imports in the next decade could go up to $230 billion from $120 billion currently, driven by economic growth, greater industrialisation and urbanisation. The report added that measures like switching from oil to natural gas and improving conservation activities can reduce energy imports of the country significantly. India is facing energy challenges as the country doesn’t produce enough to meet its needs. In 2013-14, India’s net energy imports were 6.3% of its gross domestic product (GDP). The report noted, “India has a fifth of the world’s population, but only a 30th of its energy”. “Reforms in the energy sector could reduce India’s annual energy import bill by $40 billion by 2022-2023. Energy imports in a reform scenario could come down to about 4% of GDP, from 6.3% of GDP currently,” Goldman Sachs said. The report further said if India improves energy efficiency by 15% over the next decade, it could save $32 billion per annum by 2022-23. Moreover, the reduction in energy imports as a share of GDP could help India reduce its current account deficit on a structural basis, which in turn could be positive for the currency over the medium term. |
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