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Behind Today''s Stellar Jobs Print: It Was Literally ALL Part-Time Jobs (And Illegals)Meanwhile, after last month''s record increase in foreign-born workers, in March illegal immigrants added another 112K jobs, pushing the total number of foreign-born workers to a new record high of 31.114 million.POWE... 阅3 转0 评0 公众公开 24-04-06 17:29 |
美国非农就业报告中两个数字至今差异仍大 经济学家认为需要警惕。美国非农就业报告中两个数字至今差异仍大 经济学家认为需要警惕finance.sina.com.cn 2024年04月06日 03:09.虽然新增非农就业30.3万人，为近一年来最高水平，但住户就业（household employment）调查显示新增就业约50万且前三个月为下降。富国银行的高级经济学家Sarah House表示... 阅1 转0 评0 公众公开 24-04-06 10:47 |
Normally, labor demand – being less than labor supply – is the constraint on economic output and thereby drives the cycle. But in an inverted economy, labor supply – being less than labor demand – is the constraint on output and thereby drives the cycle.Thereby, the plunge in prime-aged labor participation combine... 阅1 转0 评0 公众公开 24-04-01 16:36 |
美国消费者信心的“真相”从历史经验来看，疫后背离“1.0”：通胀上与就业热，谘商会的信心显著高于密歇根：2021年底至2022年初，密歇根和谘商会消费者信心释放相反的信号。通胀使得消费者心态发生了变化，密歇根信心指数回落：无论是对于车还是房，消费者因为价格“不友好”美国居民都不想为高价而买单，因此信心受到了一定的打击（图5-6）。... 阅1 转0 评0 公众公开 24-03-27 17:23 |
May Payrolls Soar By 339K Blowing Away Highest Estimate Even As People Employed Actually Tumble By 310K.And yet, while the Establishment survey was a blowout beat and the strongest print since January, the Household survey unexpectedly tumbled by the most since April 22 as it plunged by 310K jobs... 阅7 转0 评0 公众公开 23-06-03 15:42 |
Native-Born Workers Tumble By 369K, As Foreign-Born Workers Soar To Record High.... all of the new jobs have gone to foreign-born workers, with native-born workers stagnating and unable to surpass their pre-covid highs of 131.7 million, set in Oct 2019.This was the biggest monthly drop in native-born workers since Nov... 阅2 转0 评0 公众公开 23-06-03 15:36 |
US Job Openings Unexpectedly Soar Above Highest Estimate Even As Number Of Quits Tumble.The sudden, bizarre reversal in the job openings trend, meant that after falling to the lowest level since Sept 2021, in April the number of job openings was 4.446 million more than the number of unemployed workers, the highest sin... 阅3 转0 评0 公众公开 23-06-01 11:54 |
The Monetary Policy Report also noted that the labor force participation rate for “prime age” adults, those who are 25-54 years old, had been rising in recent years. The LFP rate for this group gives a look at trends that are less sensitive to demographic effects because retirement age adults aren’t included.Labor ... 阅14 转0 评0 公众公开 23-04-11 16:34 |
“Labor Hoarding”: New Theory Emerges To Explain The Lack Of Labor Market Collapse。Labor hoarding by builders, i.e. holding onto employees for fear of being able to replace them if necessary in a tight labor market. Miran says that he is “generally dismissive of labor hoarding for the economy as a whole, but more ... 阅8 转0 评0 公众公开 23-01-24 17:24 |
Shocking JOLT: Biggest Crash In Job Openings On Record (Outside Of Global Covid Lockdown)And now that the "first" BLS hand is finally aware of what the "other" BLS hand is doing, expect this Friday''s job report to be just as shocking as today''s jolts, something which the market al... 阅9 转0 评0 公众公开 22-10-06 16:34 |
